The depression over Southeast and adjoining Lakshadweep & Eastcentral Arabian Sea moved northwards with a speed of about 31 kmph in last three hours and lay centred at 0830 hrs IST of today, the 10th June, 2019 near latitude 12.5°N and longitude 71.0°E over Eastcentral and adjoining Southeast Arabian Sea & Lakshadweep area, about 240 km northwest of Aminidivi (Lakshadweep), 760 km south-southwest of Mumbai (Maharashtra) and 930 km south-southeast of Veraval (Gujarat). It is very likely to intensify further into a deep depression during next 06 hours, into a Cyclonic Storm during the subsequent 24 hours and into a Severe Cyclonic Storm thereafter. It is likely to move north-northwestwards during next 72 hours.
It is very likely to cause adverse impact in terms of wind & rainfall over Saurashtra & Kutch mainly on 13th & 14th June, 2019.
Forecast track and intensity are given in the following table:
Date/Time(IST) | Position (Lat. 0N/ long. 0E) | Maximum sustained surface wind speed (Kmph) | Category of cyclonic disturbance |
10.06.19/0830 | 12.5/71.0 | 40-50 gusting to 60 | Depression |
10.06.19/1730 | 13.2/70.8 | 55-65 gusting to 75 | Deep Depression |
11.06.19/0530 | 14.6/70.5 | 65-75 gusting to 85 | Cyclonic Storm |
11.06.19/1730 | 16.0/70.3 | 80-90 gusting to 100 | Cyclonic Storm |
12.06.19/0530 | 17.5/70.0 | 90-100 gusting to 115 | Severe Cyclonic Storm |
12.06.19/1730 | 19.0/69.8 | 100-110 gusting to 125 | Severe Cyclonic Storm |
13.06.19/0530 | 20.3/69.6 | 110-120 gusting to 135 | Severe Cyclonic Storm |
Warnings:
(i) Heavy rainfall warning:
Sub-Divisions | 10 June 2019 * | 11 June 2019* | 12 June 2019* | 13 June 2019* | 14 June 2019* |
Kerala | Widespread rainfall with heavy falls at isolated places | Widespread rainfall with heavy falls at isolated places | Widespread rainfall with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places | Widespread rainfall with heavy falls at isolated places | Widespread rainfall with heavy falls at isolated places |
Lakshadweep area | Widespread rainfall with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places | Widespread rainfall | Widespread rainfall | Widespread rainfall | Widespread rainfall |
Coastal Karnataka | Widespread rainfall with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places | Widespread rainfall with heavy falls at isolated places | Widespread rainfall with heavy falls at isolated places | Widespread rainfall with heavy falls at isolated places | Widespread rainfall with heavy falls at isolated places |
South Interior Karnataka | Fairly widespread rainfall with heavy falls at isolated places | Rainfall at a few places | Rainfall at a few places | Rainfall at a few places | Rainfall at a few places |
Konkan & Goa | Rainfall at a few places with isolated heavy falls over Goa | Fairly widespread rainfall with heavy falls at isolated places | Widespread rainfall with heavy falls at isolated places | Fairly widespread rainfall with heavy falls at isolated places | Fairly widespread rainfall |
Saurashtra & Kutch | Dry | Rainfall at isolated places | Rainfall at a few places with heavy rainfall at isolated places | Fairly widespread rainfall with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places | Fairly widespread rainfall with heavy falls at isolated places |
Note: * Rainfall till 0830 IST of next day.
Legends: Yellow: Be Updated; Orange- Be prepared; Red- Take action, Green: No warning
Heavy rain: 64.5-115.5 mm/day; Very heavy rain: 115.6-204.4 mm/day; Extremely heavy rain: more than 204.4 mm/day
(ii) Wind warning
o 10th June: Squally wind speed reaching 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph very likely to prevail over Eastcentral and adjoining Southeast Arabian Sea & Lakshadweep area. The strong wind speed reaching 35-45 kmph gusting to 55 kmph very likely to prevail over Kerala & Karnataka Coasts.
o 11th June: Wind speed is very likely to increase gradually and become gale wind speed reaching 65-75 kmph gusting to 85 kmph over eastcentral & adjoining southeast Arabian Sea. It is very likely to be 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph over Lakshadweep area, Kerala, Karnataka & south Maharashtra Coasts.
o 12th June: Wind speed is very likely to increase further becoming gale wind speed reaching 90-100 kmph gusting to 115 kmph over eastcentral & adjoining northeast Arabian Sea. It is very likely to be 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph over South Gujarat & Maharashtra Coasts.
o 13th June: Wind speed is very likely to increase further becomes 110-120 kmph gusting to 135 kmph over north Arabian Sea. It is very likely to be 65-75 kmph gusting to 75 kmph over Gujarat coast; and 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph over north Maharashtra Coasts & northern parts of eastcentral Arabian Sea.
(iii) Sea condition
o The sea condition is very likely to be rough to very rough over Southeast and adjoining Lakshadweep area & Eastcentral Arabian Sea on 10th and very rough to high over eastcentral & adjoining southeast Arabian Sea on 11th. The sea condition is very likely to be high to very high over eastcentral & adjoining northeast Arabian Sea on 12thand over north Arabian Sea on 13th June 2019.
o The sea condition is very likely to be rough along & off Kerala & Karnataka Coasts on 10th; Lakshadweep area, along & off Kerala, Karnataka & south Maharashtra Coasts on 11th; rough to very rough along & off south Gujarat and Maharashtra Coasts on 12th; very rough to high over along & off Gujarat, north Maharashtra Coasts & northern parts of eastcentral Arabian Sea on 13th June, 2019.
(i) Fishermen Warning
- The fishermen are advised not to venture into Southeast Arabian Sea, Lakshadweep area, along & off Kerala and Karnataka on 10th& 11th; Eastcentral Arabian Sea and along & off Maharashtra Coast on 11th & 12th; northeast Arabian sea and along & off Gujarat coast on 12th & 13th.
- Those, who are out in deep sea areas are advised return to the coast.
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